FORMLAB Race Report — Salisbury 20:21

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Salisbury · 20:21

Class 6 · 5f · Good to Firm (Firm in places)

GENERATED 2026-07-21 · 9 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.2%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.1%192 races · latest settled day: #1 4/16, top-3 9/16forensic read: #1 27.7% · top-3 63% (119)full record →

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

ROMAN SPRING (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here typically raced recently (96% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, DOTTIE DIAMOND leads on 69, 5pts clear of LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) — backed since the morning. The case against the top pick: habitually slow from the stalls and rated well above the mark it last won from. The market is line-ball — it just prefers FOLLOW MY HEART at 26% to our top pick.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 2

DOTTIE DIAMOND

OR 60 · Billy Loughnane / William Stone

MARKET backed 5.2 → 4 · the market rates it a 25% chance

69.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (69.0)Race-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 5

LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE)

OR 54 · Callum Hutchinson / Patrick Chamings

MARKET drifting 4.8 → 5.9 · the market rates it a 17% chance

64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−11lb below his last winning mark (54 today vs 65)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (64.0)Race-fit — ran 6 days ago

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 7

DREAMBIRD DOLLY

OR 53 · Rossa Ryan / John Gallagher

MARKET drifting 14 → 16 · the market rates it a 6% chance

62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (62.0)Race-fit — ran 7 days ago

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1DOTTIE DIAMONDnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away, 5lb+ above last winning mark

2LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away

3FOLLOW MY HEARTnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK

DOTTIE DIAMOND carries habitually slow from the stalls and rated well above the mark it last won from. LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge DOTTIE DIAMOND lacks: runs the winning energy pattern for the track.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Worth A Second Look

These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.

FOLLOW MY HEART FIGURE #4

Rod Millman's runners in Class 6-7 company win 12.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Rod Millman's runners kept to the same class win 12.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

WHAT WINS THIS RACE

26 similar races at SALISBURY, 4.0-6.0f, all-aged handicaps, Class 5-7, May-Sep, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)

Winners here typically raced recently (96% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites). 22% won last time out, 19% were placed 2nd-3rd.

Age

37% 5yo

30% 6yo+

19% 4yo

Last ran

67% 15-45d

30% within 14d

4% 91d+

Market

33% 4th+ in the market

26% favourite

22% 2nd favourite

LTO form

59% unplaced last time

22% won last time

19% placed last time

The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.

Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9

123456789

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 8.0 of 9, field average 5.0).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: DOTTIE DIAMOND is 0/2 on softer ground · LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground · DREAMBIRD DOLLY is 0/4 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

DOTTIE DIAMOND HELD-UP 50.5% 100.7 the strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

REPORTER MID 48.8% 99.5 one-paced late — 4th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) HELD-UP 49.5% 100.2 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

DREAMBIRD DOLLY MID 50.0% 97.4 held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

CABEZA DE LLAVE MID 49.5% 99.1 one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) HELD-UP 49.8% 100.1 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

ROMAN SPRING (IRE) PROMINENT 51.0% 96.4 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls

BATTLE POINT (IRE) MID 49.4% 99.1 one-paced late — 7th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

FOLLOW MY HEART HELD-UP 49.4% 99.2 one-paced late — 5th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

ROMAN SPRING (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest

ROMAN SPRING (IRE) is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 DOTTIE DIAMOND HELD-UP

DRAW 2 · OR 60 · Billy Loughnane / William Stone

MARKET backed 5.2 → 4 · the market rates it a 25% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−

69.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 5pts clear of the next, backed since the morning; rated well above the mark it last won from.

FormLab Figure

69.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 69

Official mark (OR)

60 · last won off 55

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 6 tries · beats market expectation (6.41)

Days since last run

7

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · best on the clock in its race
Usually races held-up closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 100.74% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

1stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 691stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 574thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 409thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated —10thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 38

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

William Stone · 180 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In Class 6-7 company9/6414.1%1.026/1833.3%2.29

At this time of year (Q3)10/5219.2%1.731/520.0%2.15

In fields of 8-1113/8016.2%1.515/2025.0%2.03

Over 5-6f trips5/3514.3%1.492/1216.7%1.92

Above their last winning mark4/488.3%0.543/1816.7%1.44

Too few runners to read reliably

Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

Billy Loughnane · last 14 days: 13/59 · at Salisbury: A/E 0.95 (n56) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n6)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9

+0.17 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 41.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph8th of 9

+0.55s

Slow away in 5 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed1st of 9

100.7%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length6th of 9

7.25 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jul 26Leicester5fGd/Frm1st—41.3 +0.19101.8+0.00—

18 Jun 26Southwell4fStd1stTrue43.5 +0.9099.0+0.35

8 Jun 26Leicester5fGood4thTrue42.2 +0.5798.3+1.11

9 Nov 24Chelmsford City5fStandard6thFast early40.5 -0.19103.5+0.62

10 Oct 24Chelmsford City5fStandard / Slow6thSlow early39.7 -0.17105.9+0.68

24 Aug 24Newmarket6fSoft9thSlow early38.4 -0.3195.9+0.55

Timed runs 2024-08-24 to 2026-07-14. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

DREAMBIRD DOLLY · 2 meetings≈ 2.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

14 Jul 26 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 1st vs 2nd, 1.25L ahead

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-2.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs BATTLE POINT (IRE) (read through RAINBOW SORBET, PORT HEDLAND) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs ROMAN SPRING (IRE) (read through NZURI, PORT HEDLAND) ≈ +5.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

5lb above his last winning mark (60 today vs 55)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (69.0)Improving fast — last run rated 69, 13pts above his recent average of 55.3Race-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“prominent, led over 1f out, driven out”

#2 LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 5 · OR 54 · Callum Hutchinson / Patrick Chamings

MARKET drifting 4.8 → 5.9 · the market rates it a 17% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−

64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 5pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; habitually slow from the stalls.

FormLab Figure

64.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 74

Official mark (OR)

54 · last won off 65

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 23 tries · below market expectation (0.95)

Days since last run

6

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races held-up closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 100.16% (one-paced late)

Headgear

Visor

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 641stClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 635thClass 6 · 5.7f · rated 457thClass 6 · 5.7f · rated 386thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 38

Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Patrick Chamings · 295 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of 8-1113/12010.8%1.512/355.7%1.15

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)10/8511.8%1.560/90.0%0.0

Below their last winning mark1/224.5%0.421/234.3%0.48

Over 5-6f trips9/7512.0%1.361/185.6%0.53

On turf13/1349.7%1.261/283.6%0.54

In Class 6-7 company9/949.6%1.092/405.0%0.81

Too few runners to read reliably

At Salisbury (small sample)3/1323.1%2.470/20.0%0.0

Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)0/30.0%0.00/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 74 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

Callum Hutchinson · last 14 days: 5/21 · at Salisbury: A/E 1.17 (n25) · with this yard: A/E 0.94 (n18)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 9

+0.08 mph

About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph9th of 9

+0.60s

Slow away in 3 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed2nd of 9

100.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length7th of 9

7.25 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

15 Jul 26Bath5fFirm2ndTrue41.8 +0.23102.8—

18 Jun 26Lingfield6fGood1stTrue42.1 +0.04100.5—

5 Jun 26Bath5fGood5thFast early40.8 +0.5596.2+0.06

22 May 26Bath5fGd/Frm7thTrue42.2 +0.1196.8+0.49

30 Apr 26Lingfield6fStd6thTrue39.6 -0.49102.7+1.12

26 Feb 26Chelmsford City6fStd7thTrue39.6 +0.01101.9+0.73

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.68very slow2f+0.58par3f+0.37fast4f+0.09fast5f+0.04fast

Timed runs 2026-02-26 to 2026-07-15. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

ROMAN SPRING (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.1L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

23 Jun 25 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 4th, 0.8L ahead

CABEZA DE LLAVE · 1 meeting≈ 5.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

11 Aug 25 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 9th vs 3rd, 4.25L behind

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (-2.9L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs DREAMBIRD DOLLY (read through BIG TIME RASCAL, SISTERS IN THE SKY, SUB THIRTEEN, DIAMONDSINTHESAND) ≈ +1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) (read through LAHINA BAY, NORDIC GLORY) ≈ -1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs REPORTER (read through SYMBOL OF HOPE, SECRET HANDSHEIKH, DIAMONDSINTHESAND, SULTAN OF OJ) ≈ +1.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs BATTLE POINT (IRE) (read through PORT HEDLAND, DARKENED EDGE, SUB THIRTEEN, KRANJCAR) ≈ +0.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

11lb below his last winning mark (54 today vs 65)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (64.0)Race-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“rear, outpaced over 2f out, ridden and headway final 1f, ran on”

#3 DREAMBIRD DOLLY MID

DRAW 7 · OR 53 · Rossa Ryan / John Gallagher

MARKET drifting 14 → 16 · the market rates it a 6% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 7pts off the top, in form; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

62.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 62

Official mark (OR)

53 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

1 win from 17 tries · below market expectation (0.66)

Days since last run

7

Sectional clock

Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 97.42% (one-paced late)

Headgear

First-time blinkers and tongue strap

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 6210thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 291stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 562ndClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 548thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated —

Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

John Gallagher · 284 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)7/907.8%0.760/100.0%0.0

In fields of 8-1112/1259.6%1.093/378.1%0.69

Over 5-6f trips6/777.8%0.72/306.7%0.71

On turf14/1618.7%0.883/427.1%0.72

Too few runners to read reliably

At Salisbury (small sample)1/333.3%3.23—

Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)1/1010.0%0.761/520.0%1.21

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 61 is below the ~64.0 the race demands

The rider

Rossa Ryan · last 14 days: 16/67 · at Salisbury: A/E 0.96 (n100) · with this yard: A/E 1.96 (n6)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields9th of 9

-0.22 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 41.8 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9

+0.14s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed8th of 9

97.4%

One-paced late

Stride length9th of 9

7.20 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jul 26Leicester5fGd/Frm2nd—41.5 +0.38101.8-0.06—

22 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm10thTrue43.3 +0.1299.0—

8 Jun 26Leicester5fGood1stTrue41.6 -0.0997.7+0.01

29 May 26Brighton5fGd/Frm2ndFast early43.9 -0.5195.8+0.16

7 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm8thTrue41.6 -0.2692.2+0.27

30 Oct 25Bath5fSoft11thTrue38.6 -0.9498.1+0.32

Timed runs 2025-10-30 to 2026-07-14. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

BATTLE POINT (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 3.4L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

29 May 26 · 5.3f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 5th, 4.75L ahead

DOTTIE DIAMOND · 2 meetings≈ 2.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

14 Jul 26 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 1st, 1.25L behind

REPORTER · 1 meeting≈ 5.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

17 Jul 25 · 5.1f · Gd/Sft — finished 6th vs 4th, 2.5L behind

CABEZA DE LLAVE · 1 meeting≈ 7.3L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

22 Jun 26 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 10th vs 3rd, 6.35L behind

Read through a common rival

vs ROMAN SPRING (IRE) (read through UPPER HAND, BIG TIME RASCAL, LOVE YOU MILLIONS, BARNSNAPE BOY) ≈ -4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) (read through LAHINA BAY, NORDIC GLORY) ≈ -3.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) (read through BIG TIME RASCAL, SISTERS IN THE SKY, SUB THIRTEEN, DIAMONDSINTHESAND) ≈ -1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (62.0)Improving fast — last run rated 62, 13pts above his recent average of 49.0Race-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“led until over 1f out, kept on”

#4 FOLLOW MY HEART HELD-UP

DRAW 9 · OR 46 · Oisin Murphy / Rod Millman

MARKET 3.9 · the market rates it a 26% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

52.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 17pts off the top, a yard in form; one-paced late — 5th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

52.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 52

Official mark (OR)

46 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 6 tries

Days since last run

7

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 99.17% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 523rdClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 496thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 324thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 369thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 31

Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Rod Millman · 779 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.997/2626.9%1.78

In fields of 8-11 ✦34/31110.9%1.0214/9914.1%1.15

Too few runners to read reliably

At Salisbury (small sample)7/3917.9%1.624/1233.3%2.23

Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)7/1936.8%1.615/955.6%2.11

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~64.0 the race demands

The rider

Oisin Murphy · last 14 days: 16/71 · at Salisbury: A/E 1.35 (n71) · with this yard: A/E 1.1 (n105)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 9

+0.10 mph

About the level of its fields · 42.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 9

+0.28s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 9

99.2%

One-paced late

Stride length5th of 9

7.34 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

14 Jul 26Leicester6fGd/Frm4th—42.5 +0.40—+0.42—

30 Jun 26Ffos Las5fGood3rdTrue42.1 +0.00101.2+0.05

9 Jun 26Salisbury6fHeavy6thTrue37.6 +0.1495.5+0.23

14 May 26Salisbury6fGood4thFast early38.7 +0.1995.7+0.34

23 Feb 26Wolverhampton6fSlow9thTrue38.8 -0.30102.8+0.35

3 Feb 26Wolverhampton6fStd5thTrue39.0 +0.17100.6+0.28

Timed runs 2026-02-03 to 2026-07-14. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

Read through a common rival

vs MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) (read through STOCK MARKET, ROGUE REBELLION) ≈ -1.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Jockey goes well at this track (1.35x market expectation)Lost roughly 1.9 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“dwelt, rear, outpaced 2f out, some late headway”

#5 CABEZA DE LLAVE MID

DRAW 3 · OR 53 · Kieren Fox / Michael Attwater

MARKET 10 · the market rates it a 10% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−

51.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 17.7pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

51.3 · ranked #5 here · career best 72

Official mark (OR)

53 · last won off 56

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 30 tries · below market expectation (0.64)

Days since last run

22

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield-closer

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 99.12% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

8thClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 503rdClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 595thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 452ndClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 606thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 37

Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Michael Attwater · 702 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

On turf15/2266.6%1.14/468.7%1.2

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Below their last winning mark4/606.7%1.20/370.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦15/2565.9%0.866/906.7%0.79

Too few runners to read reliably

At Salisbury (small sample)0/60.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)13/1877.0%0.981/812.5%1.77

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

Kieren Fox · last 14 days: 0/5 · at Salisbury: A/E 0 (n2) · with this yard: A/E 1.72 (n40)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 9

+0.22 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 42.6 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 9

+0.21s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed6th of 9

99.1%

One-paced late

Stride length2nd of 9

7.60 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

29 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm8thTrue43.7 +0.52100.7—

22 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm3rdTrue43.4 +0.1998.9—

19 May 26Lingfield4fGood5thFast early42.2 -0.1196.5+0.13

7 May 26Windsor5fGd/Frm2ndTrue43.0 +0.72100.2+0.31

25 Apr 26Southwell4fStd6thTrue41.9 +0.0196.7+0.00

21 Feb 26Chelmsford City5fStd3rdTrue41.2 +0.01101.7+0.41

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.62slow2f+0.61par3f+0.31fast4f+0.42par5f+0.84slow

Timed runs 2026-02-21 to 2026-06-29. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 5.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

11 Aug 25 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 3rd vs 9th, 4.25L ahead

DREAMBIRD DOLLY · 1 meeting≈ 7.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

22 Jun 26 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 3rd vs 10th, 6.35L ahead

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+6.5L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs REPORTER (read through LEVEL UP, ANTIPHON, DIOMED SPIRIT, BARNSNAPE BOY) ≈ +2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs BATTLE POINT (IRE) (read through BARNSNAPE BOY, KENTO, ANTIPHON, DIOMED SPIRIT) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs ROMAN SPRING (IRE) (read through KENTO, COLORADA DANCER, BARNSNAPE BOY, MERRIMACK) ≈ +0.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

3lb below his last winning mark (53 today vs 56)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“in touch, ridden when short of room approaching 2f out, weakened final 1f”

#6 REPORTER MID

DRAW 4 · OR 54 · William Carver / Simon Hodgson

MARKET drifting 27 → 32 · the market rates it a 3% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−

50.7 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 18.3pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; one-paced late — 4th of 9 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

50.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 66

Official mark (OR)

54 · last won off 59

Record at today's distance

1 win from 13 tries · below market expectation (0.95)

Days since last run

107

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.7s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 99.46% (one-paced late)

Headgear

Hood

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

13thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 386thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 564thClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 588thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 554thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 63

Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Simon Hodgson · 219 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Salisbury1/616.7%6.76—

On turf1/661.5%0.271/1010.0%1.45

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of 8-1110/1029.8%1.421/224.5%0.41

Over 5-6f trips6/639.5%1.081/185.6%0.55

In Class 6-7 company7/1156.1%0.972/229.1%0.75

Too few runners to read reliably

Below their last winning mark (small sample)1/425.0%1.841/333.3%2.19

Coming back after 91 to 180 days (small sample)1/1010.0%1.590/30.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)3/575.3%1.10/10.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 66 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

William Carver · last 14 days: 3/9 · at Salisbury: A/E 0.95 (n16) · with this yard: A/E 0.55 (n94)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields7th of 9

-0.00 mph

About the level of its fields · 42.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9

+0.09s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 9

99.5%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 9

7.56 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

5 Apr 26Bath5fGood13thFast early41.1 +0.6495.4+0.20

20 Mar 26Lingfield5fStd6thTrue41.1 -0.60102.8+0.05

29 Sep 25Brighton5fGood4thTrue44.6 +0.3097.6+0.13

23 Sep 25Lingfield5fStd8thTrue42.4 -0.07102.2+0.10

6 Aug 25Brighton5fGood5thTrue43.9 -0.2696.0+0.06

23 Jun 25Windsor5fGd/Frm1stTrue42.1 -0.03102.9+0.00

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.42fast2f+0.32fast3f+0.39par4f+0.51very slow5f+1.18very slow

Timed runs 2025-06-23 to 2026-04-05. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

BATTLE POINT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

29 Sep 25 · 5.3f · Good — finished 4th vs 7th, 1.8L ahead

DREAMBIRD DOLLY · 1 meeting≈ 5.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

17 Jul 25 · 5.1f · Gd/Sft — finished 4th vs 6th, 2.5L ahead

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+4.6L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Read through a common rival

vs CABEZA DE LLAVE (read through LEVEL UP, ANTIPHON, DIOMED SPIRIT, BARNSNAPE BOY) ≈ -2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) (read through SYMBOL OF HOPE, SECRET HANDSHEIKH, DIAMONDSINTHESAND, SULTAN OF OJ) ≈ -1.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs ROMAN SPRING (IRE) (read through RECON MISSION, OVER SPICED, STARSONG, POP DANCER) ≈ +0.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

5lb below his last winning mark (54 today vs 59)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“mid-field, pushed along 2f out, dropped away over 1f out”

#7 MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 1 · OR 54 · Charlie Tucker / Max Comley

MARKET drifting 32 → 38 · the market rates it a 3% chance

50 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

7th on the figures, 19pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; the clock has it fading late.

FormLab Figure

50 · ranked #7 here · career best 64

Official mark (OR)

54 · last won off 55

Record at today's distance

1 win from 22 tries · below market expectation (0.44)

Days since last run

29

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races midfield-closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 100.14% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

9thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 413rdClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 566thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 532ndClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 639thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 52

Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Max Comley

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

Charlie Tucker · last 14 days: 1/7 · at Salisbury: A/E 3.58 (n3) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n1)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9

+0.17 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 41.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph7th of 9

+0.39s

Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed3rd of 9

100.1%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length8th of 9

7.21 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

22 Jun 26Windsor6fGd/Frm9thTrue41.1 +0.0499.2—

30 May 26Catterick Bridge5fGd/Frm3rdTrue39.0 -0.36101.9+0.00

9 May 26Nottingham5fGood6thTrue41.5 +0.09100.1+0.46

26 Apr 26Nottingham6fGood2ndTrue40.0 -0.0197.9+0.08

13 Apr 26Newcastle6fStd9thTrue41.2 +0.55101.6+1.00

26 Mar 26Southwell4fStd5thTrue43.1 +0.69100.1+0.42

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.84par2f+0.78par3f+0.90slow4f+0.83par5f+0.79slow6f+1.36very slow

Timed runs 2026-03-26 to 2026-06-22. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

Read through a common rival

vs BATTLE POINT (IRE) (read through NORDIC GLORY, ALASHOS) ≈ +5.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DREAMBIRD DOLLY (read through LAHINA BAY, NORDIC GLORY) ≈ +3.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) (read through LAHINA BAY, NORDIC GLORY) ≈ +1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs FOLLOW MY HEART (read through STOCK MARKET, ROGUE REBELLION) ≈ +1.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayJockey goes well at this track (3.58x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“off pace, little impression”

#8 ROMAN SPRING (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 8 · OR 50 · Mason Paetel / Rachel Cook & John Bridger

MARKET 9.6 · the market rates it a 10% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−

41.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

8th on the figures, 27.7pts off the top, dropping in class; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

41.3 · ranked #8 here · career best 76

Official mark (OR)

50 · last won off 54

Record at today's distance

3 wins from 29 tries · beats market expectation (1.05)

Days since last run

12

Sectional clock

Last time: 2.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 96.44% (one-paced late)

Headgear

Tongue strap

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

12thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 153rdClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 567thClass 5 · 5.3f · rated 5310thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 446thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 54

Career sheet · last 18 months · 22 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Rachel Cook & John Bridger · 345 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Salisbury2/296.9%0.850/80.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3)13/12210.7%1.220/90.0%0.0

Over 5-6f trips14/1588.9%0.941/452.2%0.3

In Class 6-7 company10/1437.0%0.871/313.2%0.55

On turf15/2107.1%0.842/434.7%0.63

Coming back after 8 to 14 days8/938.6%0.951/214.8%0.69

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64.0 demand

The rider

Mason Paetel · last 14 days: 3/18 · at Salisbury: A/E 0 (n3) · with this yard: A/E 2.26 (n7)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 9

+0.04 mph

About the level of its fields · 43.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 9

+0.05s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed9th of 9

96.4%

One-paced late

Stride length4th of 9

7.45 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm12thTrue41.6 -0.0293.8—

23 Jun 26Newbury6fGd/Frm3rdFast early41.9 -0.0197.5+0.04

9 Jun 26Brighton5fGood7thSlow early44.3 +0.2098.0+0.07

23 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm10th—42.7 -0.1596.5+0.17

11 May 26Windsor5fGd/Frm6thFast early43.6 -0.1494.3+0.12

3 May 26Salisbury6fGd/Frm3rdTrue39.7 +0.3498.4-0.13

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.37par2f+0.37fast3f+0.29fast4f+0.36par5f+0.68very slow6f+2.28very slow

Timed runs 2026-05-03 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

BATTLE POINT (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 1.2L ahead on today's terms · confirms

8 Jul 25 · 6f · Good — finished 1st vs 6th, 6.25L ahead

LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.1L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

23 Jun 25 · 6.1f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 2nd, 0.8L behind

Read through a common rival

vs DOTTIE DIAMOND (read through NZURI, PORT HEDLAND) ≈ -5.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs DREAMBIRD DOLLY (read through UPPER HAND, BIG TIME RASCAL, LOVE YOU MILLIONS, BARNSNAPE BOY) ≈ +4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs REPORTER (read through RECON MISSION, OVER SPICED, STARSONG, POP DANCER) ≈ -0.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs CABEZA DE LLAVE (read through KENTO, COLORADA DANCER, BARNSNAPE BOY, MERRIMACK) ≈ -0.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

4lb below his last winning mark (50 today vs 54)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“off pace, ridden over 2f out, little impression”

#9 BATTLE POINT (IRE) MID

DRAW 6 · OR 46 · Luke Morris / Michael Attwater

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−

40.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

9th on the figures, 29pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; behind the rivals it has met on collateral form.

FormLab Figure

40.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 60

Official mark (OR)

46 · last won off 49

Record at today's distance

1 win from 39 tries · below market expectation (0.45)

Days since last run

21

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 99.09% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

7thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 407thClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 385thClass 6 · 5.3f · rated 3410thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 314thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 47

Career sheet · last 18 months · 22 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Michael Attwater · 702 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.3 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

On turf15/2266.6%1.14/468.7%1.2

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Below their last winning mark4/606.7%1.20/370.0%0.0

Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦15/2565.9%0.866/906.7%0.79

Too few runners to read reliably

At Salisbury (small sample)0/60.0%0.00/20.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)13/1877.0%0.981/812.5%1.77

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 60 is below the ~64.0 the race demands

The rider

Luke Morris · last 14 days: 4/45 · at Salisbury: A/E 0.9 (n40) · with this yard: A/E 0.7 (n28)

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields8th of 9

-0.16 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 43.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 9

+0.32s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed7th of 9

99.1%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 9

7.89 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

30 Jun 26Brighton5fGood7thTrue42.1 -0.5495.3+0.09

9 Jun 26Brighton5fGood7thTrue43.5 +0.0299.4+1.39

29 May 26Brighton5fGd/Frm5thFast early44.9 +0.4495.7+0.08

30 Apr 26Lingfield6fStd10thTrue39.5 -0.31102.0+0.20

25 Mar 26Kempton Park6fSlow4thTrue39.1 -0.33102.5-0.17

7 Mar 26Chelmsford City5fStd4thFast early41.7 -0.2299.7+0.32

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.24par2f+0.34par3f+0.30slow4f+0.18slow5f+0.29slow6f+0.85slow

Timed runs 2026-03-07 to 2026-06-30. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met

ROMAN SPRING (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 1.2L behind on today's terms · reverses

8 Jul 25 · 6f · Good — finished 6th vs 1st, 6.25L behind

DREAMBIRD DOLLY · 2 meetings≈ 3.4L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

29 May 26 · 5.3f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 2nd, 4.75L behind

REPORTER · 1 meeting≈ 3.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

29 Sep 25 · 5.3f · Good — finished 7th vs 4th, 1.8L behind

Read through a common rival

vs DOTTIE DIAMOND (read through RAINBOW SORBET, PORT HEDLAND) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs MADEMOISELLE BELLE (IRE) (read through NORDIC GLORY, ALASHOS) ≈ -5.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs CABEZA DE LLAVE (read through BARNSNAPE BOY, KENTO, ANTIPHON, DIOMED SPIRIT) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

vs LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) (read through PORT HEDLAND, DARKENED EDGE, SUB THIRTEEN, KRANJCAR) ≈ -0.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

3lb below his last winning mark (46 today vs 49)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“handy, ridden under 2f out, weakened before final 100 yds”