THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.2%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.1%192 races · latest settled day: #1 4/16, top-3 9/16forensic read: #1 27.7% · top-3 63% (119)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
No confirmed early pace on the book, so this one may turn tactical. Winners here typically raced recently (46% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (81% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 48% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, JAZZY BLUE (IRE) leads on 59, 1pts clear of MUSICAL FORCE — runs the dominant winning style here. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is MUSICAL FORCE — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making SYNDICALE (IRE) the 61% favourite — a horse our figures rate lower.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 10
JAZZY BLUE (IRE)
OR · Paddy Bradley / Charlie Fellowes
MARKET 5.8 · the market rates it a 17% chance
59.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (59.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.44x market expectation)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
MUSICAL FORCE
OR · Kaiya Fraser / Harry Eustace
MARKET 15 · the market rates it a 7% chance
58.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (58.0)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 9
PRIDE'S QUEEN
OR · Jack Gilligan / Marco Botti
MARKET 46 · the market rates it a 2% chance
48.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #4 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−Drops in class today
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1MUSICAL FORCEnet +6race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, yard hot, FormLab watch flag
2JAZZY BLUE (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here
3PRIDE'S QUEENnet +3drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), yard hot
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. JAZZY BLUE (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge MUSICAL FORCE lacks: one of the two best-rated here.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
26 similar races at WOLVERHAMPTON, 6.2-8.2f, 2yo non-handicaps, Class 3-5, all months, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (46% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (81% from the first three favourites). 8% won last time out, 19% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Last ran
42% first run
38% 15-45d
8% within 14d
Market
38% favourite
27% 2nd favourite
19% 4th+ in the market
LTO form
42% first run
31% unplaced last time
19% placed last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–10
12345678910
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
MISS YOU NIGHTSHELD-UP49.9%100.3one-paced late — 4th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
PERFECT LOVE———-
PRIDE'S QUEENHELD-UP49.4%101.1the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
SENORITA LUNA (IRE)———-
SYNDICALE (IRE)———-
JAZZY BLUE (IRE)MID50.1%98.8one-paced late — 6th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
KISS CAM (IRE)HELD-UP49.2%102.0the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
MUSICAL FORCEHELD-UP47.7%106.2the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SERENITY BAYHELD-UP50.2%99.2one-paced late — 5th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1JAZZY BLUE (IRE)MID
DRAW 10 · OR · Paddy Bradley / Charlie Fellowes
MARKET 5.8 · the market rates it a 17% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
59.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Level at the head of the figures (2nd), runs the dominant winning style here; one-paced late — 6th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Fellowes · 553 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)27/17815.2%1.123/1520.0%1.43
In fields of 8-1121/20710.1%0.818/5514.5%1.3
In Class 4-5 company30/27510.9%0.859/6613.6%1.29
On the all-weather27/20213.4%0.845/3912.8%1.28
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)8/3920.5%1.022/825.0%3.19
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 63 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Paddy Bradley · last 14 days: 3/21· at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.44 (n143)· with this yard: A/E 1.5 (n57)
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 6
-0.27 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 4
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 6
98.8%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 6
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Yarmouth6fGd/Frm5thTrue40.3 -0.06101.7+0.16
8 Jun 26Leicester7fGood2ndTrue40.8 +0.0795.3+0.23
13 May 26Yarmouth6fGd/Sft6thSlow early38.8 -0.8199.5+0.24
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-13 to 2026-06-26. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
26 Jun 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 3rd, 1.55L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-1.6L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formRated #2 in this field (59.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.44x market expectation)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“in touch, effort 2f out, not quicken”
#2MUSICAL FORCEHELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 3 · OR · Kaiya Fraser / Harry Eustace
MARKET 15 · the market rates it a 7% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
58.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 1pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
58.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
33
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 106.16% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 58
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Harry Eustace · 532 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1119/2079.2%0.7611/5022.0%2.0
In Class 4-5 company21/2578.2%0.6514/7020.0%1.64
At this time of year (Q3)10/1456.9%0.63/1618.8%1.33
Over 7-8f trips14/1768.0%0.6411/6118.0%1.31
Coming back after 15 to 45 days18/2038.9%0.6411/5819.0%1.27
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)2/355.7%0.470/70.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 57 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Kaiya Fraser · last 14 days: 6/19· at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.96 (n56)· with this yard: A/E 0.87 (n158)
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6
-0.24 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.3 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph4th of 4
+0.60s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 6
106.2%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 6
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Yarmouth6fGd/Frm9thSlow early40.3 -0.24106.2+0.60
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-18. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formRated #3 in this field (58.0)Only 1 run at this distance
LTO comment
“off pace, shaken up around 2f out, no impression”
#3PRIDE'S QUEENHELD-UP
DRAW 9 · OR · Jack Gilligan / Marco Botti
MARKET 46 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
48.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 11pts off the top, dropping in class; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Marco Botti · 833 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/18813.3%1.225/2420.8%1.42
On the all-weather51/40312.7%0.9520/8822.7%1.32
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦43/32513.2%1.0214/7718.2%1.2
In fields of 8-1135/3529.9%0.8814/8017.5%1.16
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 51 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Jack Gilligan · last 14 days: 1/5· at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.67 (n24)· with this yard: A/E 0.88 (n27)
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 6
-0.26 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.8 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 6
101.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length4th of 6
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm10th—39.8 -0.3099.8+0.14
23 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm8th—40.7 -0.21102.3+0.31
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.422f+0.493f+0.464f+0.435f+0.496f+0.857f+1.42
Timed runs 2026-05-23 to 2026-06-20. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formDrops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distance
LTO comment
“off pace, effort wide 2f out, not sustain effort”
#4SERENITY BAYHELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 6 · OR · Robert Havlin / Ed Dunlop
MARKET 55 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
38.5FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 20.5pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; one-paced late — 5th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
38.5 · ranked #5 here · career best 40
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.19% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Dunlop · 895 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: without a sectional tell last time
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days22/16313.5%1.066/2227.3%2.32
At this time of year (Q3)33/27612.0%1.124/2317.4%1.76
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton10/8112.3%1.011/185.6%0.56
On the all-weather40/36710.9%1.04/517.8%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 40 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Robert Havlin · last 14 days: 4/19· at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.1 (n172)· with this yard: A/E 1.58 (n90)
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6
+0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4
+0.45s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 6
99.2%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 6
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
KISS CAM (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 4.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+4.3L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formOnly 1 run at this distanceRace-fit — ran 12 days ago
LTO comment
“(by Bated Breath: half-sister to several winners, including useful 6f (including at 2 yrs) winner Chocoya (by Sepoy) and winner up to 7.4f Gressington (2-y-o 7f winner, by Outstrip): dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 7f…”
#6KISS CAM (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · 8-13 · −7lb claim = 8-6 carried · Donagh Murphy / Richard Hughes
MARKET 130 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
20.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 39pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
20.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 20
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.03% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
11thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 20
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1053 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦60/39915.0%1.0826/15017.3%1.37
At Wolverhampton ✦19/8921.3%1.288/3721.6%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦10/8711.5%0.736/5012.0%0.81
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 19 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Donagh Murphy · last 14 days: 0/11· at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.79 (n29)· with this yard: A/E 0.74 (n45)
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 6
-0.58 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph
—
No 0-20mph split recorded
Finish · closing speed2nd of 6
102.0%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 6
7.54 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm11thTrue39.9 -0.58102.0—
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
MISS YOU NIGHTS · 1 meeting≈ 4.3L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-4.3L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formOnly 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 14 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days ago
LTO comment
“(€7,000Y: by Nando Parrado: sixth foal: closely related to 5f winner (stayed 7f) Messa Concertata (by Ardad) and half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Nifty (by Dandy Man): dam, 9.3f winner who stayed 1½m, half-sister to…”
#7PERFECT LOVE
DRAW 4 · OR · Alistair Rawlinson / Michael Appleby
MARKET 25 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
A yard that scores in today’s conditions; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Appleby · 1548 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of 8-11
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦77/68911.2%0.999/1575.7%0.5
At Wolverhampton ✦17/15211.2%0.833/358.6%0.6
At this time of year (Q3)45/32813.7%1.223/397.7%0.7
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Alistair Rawlinson · last 14 days: 0/6· at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.15 (n141)· with this yard: A/E 1.07 (n561)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf form
#8SENORITA LUNA (IRE)
DRAW 8 · OR · Benoit de la Sayette / Marco Botti
MARKET 25 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
A yard in form; the price is the only question.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Marco Botti · 833 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)25/18813.3%1.225/2420.8%1.42
On the all-weather51/40312.7%0.9520/8822.7%1.32
In fields of 8-1135/3529.9%0.8814/8017.5%1.16
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Benoit de la Sayette · last 14 days: 0/13· at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.91 (n56)· with this yard: A/E 0.61 (n73)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf form
#9SYNDICALE (IRE)
DRAW 1 · OR · Clifford Lee / K. R. Burke
MARKET 1.65 · the market rates it a 61% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
—FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
A yard that scores in today’s conditions; the price is the only question.
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
K. R. Burke · 1719 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 3.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton5/608.3%0.548/2630.8%1.52
At this time of year (Q3) ✦92/52017.7%1.0512/5223.1%1.21
Over 7-8f trips ✦95/50019.0%1.1834/15322.2%1.2
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
The rider
Clifford Lee · last 14 days: 2/16· at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.05 (n178)· with this yard: A/E 1.07 (n792)
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formStable in form this week — 5 wins from 11 runs