FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Wolverhampton · 19:30
Class 6 · 7.16f · Standard
GENERATED 2026-07-21 · 11 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.2%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.1%192 races · latest settled day: #1 4/16, top-3 9/16forensic read: #1 27.7% · top-3 63% (119)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here typically raced recently (93% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 48% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, ZOULETTE (IRE) leads on 67, 1pts clear of GRAND VISTA (IRE) — flagged on our watch list. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is CAPTIVE BEAUTY (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making TORBADOS the 26% favourite — a horse our figures rate 3rd.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 11
ZOULETTE (IRE)
OR 57 · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster
67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (67.0)Historically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 7
GRAND VISTA (IRE)
OR 57 · Jason Hart / William Muir & Chris Grassick
MARKET 5 · the market rates it a 20% chance
66.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−Rated #2 in this field (66.0)
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 10
TORBADOS
OR 60 · Jack Callan / Charles Hills
MARKET 3.95 · the market rates it a 26% chance
64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−Rated #3 in this field (64.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1MISTER MOET (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls, proven at trip, proven on the going
2ZOULETTE (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), yard positive in today’s setup, FormLab watch flag
3ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE)net +5race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), quickest early type, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. MISTER MOET (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge ZOULETTE (IRE) lacks: proven at the trip.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
PERSONAL PRIDE  FIGURE #10
David Simcock's runners kept to the same class win 12.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. David Simcock's runners on the all-weather win 16.0% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
15 similar races at WOLVERHAMPTON, 6.7-7.7f, 3yo handicaps, Class 5-7, May-Sep, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (93% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites). 0% won last time out, 13% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Last ran
67% 15-45d
27% within 14d
7% 46-90d
Market
40% 2nd favourite
33% 4th+ in the market
20% favourite
LTO form
87% unplaced last time
13% placed last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 11 runners · stalls 1–11
1234567891011
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–11).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
TORBADOS MID 51.9% 94.9 held up without the late gear (10th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
HAKIN ADRAAR MID 53.0% 97.0 held up without the late gear (8th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
MISTER MOET (IRE) MID 49.6% 102.6 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
ZOULETTE (IRE) MID 49.1% 100.6 solid late gains (4th of 11 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
GRAND VISTA (IRE) HELD-UP 51.5% 96.7 held up without the late gear (9th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
PERSONAL PRIDE MID 49.9% 100.1 one-paced late — 6th of 11 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
CAPTIVE BEAUTY (IRE) HELD-UP 47.9% 104.0 the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
PENNINE WAY PROMINENT 50.6% 100.1 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) PROMINENT 50.1% 100.2 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
DISTILLATION (FR) MID 49.2% 100.8 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
THE FLOORS MUNKY MID 52.2% 94.7 held up without the late gear (11th of 11 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
PENNINE WAYPROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · a beat slow from the stalls (0.23s off the best)
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 ZOULETTE (IRE) MID
DRAW 11 · OR 57 · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, flagged on our watch list; solid late gains (4th of 11 on late speed here), yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
67.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
57 · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
1 win from 6 tries · beats market expectation (1.16)
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.58% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 6 · 7.4f · rated 676thClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 322ndClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 627thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 486thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 17
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ZOULETTE (IRE)best 67needs 66–672026-02-21 · TFR 53 · 7f · Std · C42026-03-31 · TFR 61 · 5.1f · Std · C4 · off-trip2026-04-20 · TFR 17 · 6f · Std · C42026-05-18 · TFR 48 · 6.05f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 62 · 7f · Firm · C62026-06-02 · TFR 32 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-07-04 · TFR 67 · 7.44f · Gd/Frm · C621 Feb 264 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ollie Sangster · 710 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather ✦27/21212.7%1.0925/12919.4%1.42
Above their last winning mark9/4719.1%0.9216/6425.0%1.31
Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7820/13315.0%1.22
At Wolverhampton ✦8/4219.0%1.568/4717.0%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
The rider
Stevie Donohoe · last 14 days: 1/11 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.91 (n60) · with this yard: A/E 1.69 (n32)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 11
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 11
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 11
100.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length8th of 11
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Beverley7fGd/Frm1stTrue38.6 +0.3996.6+0.00
2 Jun 26Wolverhampton7fStd6thTrue39.7 -0.1097.5+0.21
26 May 26Leicester7fFirm2ndTrue40.0 +0.00—+0.05
18 May 26Windsor6fGood7thTrue41.9 +0.07101.6+0.44
20 Apr 26Lingfield6fStd6thTrue40.2 +0.00102.8+0.19
31 Mar 26Wolverhampton5fStd3rdSlow early39.7 -0.19104.4+0.18
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledpar3fledpar4fledslow5fledslow6fledpar7fledslow
Timed runs 2026-03-31 to 2026-07-04. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DISTILLATION (FR) · 1 meeting≈ 9.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
2 Jun 26 · 7.2f · Std — finished 6th vs 2nd, 6.55L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-9.6L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through HATAMOTO, WOODY Y FERNANDEZ) ≈ +5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs TORBADOS (read through CORNICHE GIRL, MY DAD TOM) ≈ -3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs GRAND VISTA (IRE) (read through ESCAPE MAGIC, MADMAN, MARRA DONNA) ≈ +2.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through SHE'S CRAFTY, WOODY Y FERNANDEZ, GILES GLORY) ≈ +2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (57 today vs 54)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (67.0)Improving fast — last run rated 67, 13pts above his recent average of 53.7Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 13 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden 2f out, no extra final 1f”
#2 GRAND VISTA (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR 57 · Jason Hart / William Muir & Chris Grassick
MARKET 5 · the market rates it a 20% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
66.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, prominent in the betting; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
66.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 66
Official mark (OR)
57 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
13
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · best on the clock in its race
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 96.72% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 7.1f · rated 6611thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated —5thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 575thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 494thClass 4 · 6.5f · rated 65
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for GRAND VISTA (IRE)needs 66–67best 662025-10-24 · TFR 65 · 6.5f · Heavy · C42025-11-19 · TFR 49 · 6f · Std · C52026-05-11 · TFR 57 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C52026-07-08 · TFR 66 · 7.07f · Gd/Frm · C624 Oct 258 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
William Muir & Chris Grassick · 474 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton5/3713.5%1.092/1315.4%1.35
In fields of 8-1122/19311.4%1.084/449.1%1.25
At this time of year (Q3)12/1557.7%0.843/2412.5%1.2
In Class 6-7 company7/808.8%0.554/3212.5%1.18
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days10/5518.2%1.31/166.2%0.61
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
The rider
Jason Hart · last 14 days: 12/46 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.74 (n165) · with this yard: A/E 1.67 (n3)
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 11
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 43.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 11
+0.32s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed9th of 11
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length10th of 11
7.13 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jul 26Chepstow7fGd/Frm3rdTrue43.8 -0.0197.1—
9 Jun 26Salisbury6fHeavy11thTrue37.3 -0.1590.4+0.27
11 May 26Windsor6fGd/Frm5thTrue40.3 -0.16100.7+0.51
19 Nov 25Kempton Park6fStd5thFast early40.3 +0.2996.0+0.13
24 Oct 25Newbury6fHeavy4thSlow early36.8 +0.1699.4+0.35
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.88slow2f+0.90fast3f+0.88par4f+0.69par5f+0.56par6f+0.40par7f+0.15par
Timed runs 2025-10-24 to 2026-07-08. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DISTILLATION (FR) · 1 meeting≈ 6.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
24 Oct 25 · 6.5f · Heavy — finished 4th vs 6th, 6.25L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+6.2L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs ZOULETTE (IRE) (read through ESCAPE MAGIC, MADMAN, MARRA DONNA) ≈ -2.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs MISTER MOET (IRE) (read through LUNA BEAUX, MADMAN, MARRA DONNA) ≈ -0.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (66.0)Improving fast — last run rated 66, 8pts above his recent average of 57.3Only 5 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, beaten 3f out”
#3 TORBADOS MID
DRAW 10 · OR 60 · Jack Callan / Charles Hills
MARKET 3.95 · the market rates it a 26% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−
64.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 3pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
64.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
60 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 9 tries
Days since last run
13
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 94.93% (one-paced late)
Headgear
First-time blinkers
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 645thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 5712thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated —6thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 593rdClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 67
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for TORBADOSbest 67needs 66–672025-09-08 · TFR 65 · 6.05f · Good · C52025-09-19 · TFR 54 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C42025-10-04 · TFR 40 · 7f · Good · C22025-10-14 · TFR 67 · 7f · Std · C52025-12-01 · TFR 59 · 6f · Std · C52026-05-26 · TFR 57 · 7f · Good · C52026-07-08 · TFR 64 · 8f · Slow · C68 Sep 258 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charles Hills · 737 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather14/1658.5%0.599/4320.9%1.65
Too few runners to read reliably
In Class 6-7 company (small sample)5/3813.2%0.923/933.3%2.1
At Wolverhampton (small sample)3/387.9%0.461/616.7%1.68
Coming back after 8 to 14 days (small sample)8/7311.0%0.752/1315.4%1.01
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 70 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
The rider
Jack Callan · last 14 days: 3/26 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.18 (n54) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n5)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 11
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 11
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed10th of 11
94.9%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 11
7.30 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jul 26Kempton Park8fSlow4th—40.2 +1.54101.0+0.00—
26 May 26Lingfield7fGood5thTrue42.0 -0.1897.8+0.19
25 Apr 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm12thTrue40.2 -0.0680.7+0.20
14 Oct 25Lingfield7fStd3rdTrue40.7 -0.34101.8+0.17
4 Oct 25Newmarket7fGood17thTrue40.5 -0.3094.9+0.06
19 Sep 25Newbury6fGd/Sft7thTrue39.2 -0.2693.5-0.38
Timed runs 2025-09-19 to 2026-07-08. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs PERSONAL PRIDE (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, ROCCOBEAR, SUPERSTORM, THANOS) ≈ +5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ZOULETTE (IRE) (read through CORNICHE GIRL, MY DAD TOM) ≈ +3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs HAKIN ADRAAR (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, UNCERTAINTY, POPTY PING) ≈ +3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs PENNINE WAY (read through SUPERSTORM, TWILIGHT SERENADE, MAXIMUM VELOCITY) ≈ -2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (64.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“dwelt, mid-field, pushed along over 2f out, no impression”
#4 ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR 53 · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Georgina Nicholls
MARKET 14.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 13pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late.
FormLab Figure
54.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 59
Official mark (OR)
53 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 11 tries
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 100.24% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 5413thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 253rdClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 592ndClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 592ndClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 57
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE)needs 66–67best 592025-06-25 · TFR 48 · 7f · Slow · C42025-08-08 · TFR 21 · 5.98f · Good · C52025-09-22 · TFR 36 · 7.16f · Slow · C62025-10-11 · TFR 57 · 7.16f · Slow · C62025-11-06 · TFR 51 · 7.06f · Slow · C62026-01-07 · TFR 57 · 7f · Std/Slow · C62026-01-14 · TFR 59 · 8f · Std · C62026-02-02 · TFR 59 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-06-14 · TFR 25 · 6.01f · Good · C62026-07-06 · TFR 54 · 8f · Std/Slow · C625 Jun 256 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Georgina Nicholls · 101 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton1/812.5%1.291/714.3%1.68
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips1/263.8%0.680/170.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days4/3112.9%1.291/244.2%0.5
In Class 6-7 company5/2420.8%1.491/156.7%0.53
In fields of 8-113/348.8%1.161/195.3%0.61
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)4/2814.3%1.260/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 62 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
Pierre-Louis Jamin · last 14 days: 0/15 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.78 (n73)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 11
+0.33 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 11
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 11
100.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length3rd of 11
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jul 26Lingfield8fStd/Slow3rdTrue39.2 +0.2497.8+0.00
14 Jun 26Doncaster6fGood13thTrue41.6 -0.12101.2+0.00
2 Feb 26Wolverhampton7fStd3rdFast early40.5 +0.2995.5+0.08
14 Jan 26Lingfield8fStd2ndTrue39.1 +0.21104.7+0.01
7 Jan 26Lingfield7fStd/Slow2ndFast early41.5 +0.72101.1+0.29
6 Nov 25Newcastle7fSlow6thTrue39.2 +0.64101.0+1.01
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2f+0.08par3f+0.16par4f+0.30fast5f+0.16par6f+0.02par7f+0.11slow1m+0.98very slow
Timed runs 2025-11-06 to 2026-07-06. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through MERESIDE PRINCESS, WOODY Y FERNANDEZ) ≈ +5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs PENNINE WAY (read through WILD ROSIE, MOLLY MAC, COME ON OVER) ≈ +5.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs HAKIN ADRAAR (read through VINTAGE HEAT, FORCEFUL LADY) ≈ +3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs MISTER MOET (IRE) (read through MERESIDE PRINCESS, HENRIETTE RONNER, THE TUNGUSKA EVENT) ≈ -2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, led briefly entering straight, no extra final 1f”
#5 MISTER MOET (IRE) MID
DRAW 3 · OR 59 · Kieran O'Neill / Scott Dixon
MARKET 15.5 · the market rates it a 6% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
51.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 16pts off the top, proven at the trip; the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
51.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
59 · last won off 59
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 13 tries · beats market expectation (2.01)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.57% (holds late)
Headgear
Cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 516thClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 4912thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 401stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 642ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 64
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for MISTER MOET (IRE)needs 66–67best 642025-04-24 · TFR 49 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C5 · off-trip2025-05-16 · TFR 64 · 6.03f · Gd/Frm · C42025-05-29 · TFR 64 · 5.83f · Soft · C32025-07-03 · TFR 46 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-19 · TFR 32 · 5.15f · Good · C2 · off-trip2025-09-04 · TFR 61 · 6.96f · Good · C52025-10-06 · TFR 40 · 6f · Soft · C52025-11-18 · TFR 56 · 6f · Slow · C42025-12-02 · TFR 48 · 6f · Std · C52025-12-22 · TFR 59 · 5.1f · Slow · C5 · off-trip2026-01-21 · TFR 55 · 6f · Slow · C62026-01-26 · TFR 45 · 6.09f · Std · C52026-02-07 · TFR 52 · 6f · Std · C62026-02-21 · TFR 62 · 6f · Std · C62026-02-28 · TFR 56 · 6f · Std · C52026-03-12 · TFR 64 · 5f · Std · C6 · off-trip2026-03-27 · TFR 64 · 5.03f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-04-03 · TFR 40 · 6f · Std · C42026-07-09 · TFR 49 · 5.65f · Gd/Frm · C52026-07-15 · TFR 51 · 4.99f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip24 Apr 2515 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Scott Dixon · 1052 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, off a judgement-rated last figure
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton15/2715.5%0.849/8310.8%1.42
Coming back after within 7 days10/1218.3%0.696/3616.7%1.35
Over 7-8f trips ✦34/4407.7%1.039/1088.3%1.28
On the all-weather33/5765.7%0.9516/1888.5%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company ✦35/4797.3%0.987/1494.7%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)14/1957.2%1.073/1915.8%1.26
Back at their last winning mark (small sample)0/270.0%0.01/156.7%1.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 64 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
Kieran O'Neill · last 14 days: 1/13 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.14 (n376) · with this yard: A/E 1.34 (n339)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 11
-0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 11
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 11
102.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 11
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jul 26Lingfield4fGd/Frm2ndTrue42.3 +0.30101.0+0.00
9 Jul 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm6thTrue41.6 -0.4597.1+0.02
3 Apr 26Lingfield6fStd12thTrue41.4 -0.16101.4+0.06
12 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd2ndTrue40.5 -0.24104.1+0.09
28 Feb 26Lingfield6fStd8thTrue41.3 -0.01100.7+0.00
21 Feb 26Lingfield6fStd1stTrue41.9 +0.41111.1+0.06
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.22slow2f+0.19slow3f+0.15par4f+0.26par5f+1.00slow
Timed runs 2026-02-21 to 2026-07-15. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs HAKIN ADRAAR (read through DENBY'S DREAM, JUNGLE KNIGHT, GUNALT WAVELENGTH) ≈ -2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through MERESIDE PRINCESS, HENRIETTE RONNER, THE TUNGUSKA EVENT) ≈ +2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through THANKFULLY SIMMY, MERESIDE PRINCESS, POWERNAP, HARES BREDTH) ≈ +2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs PENNINE WAY (read through INCLUSIVE, JUNGLE KNIGHT, BEACH PARTEE) ≈ +1.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (13 tries, beats market expectation at 2.01)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“led until halfway, faded approaching final 1f”
#6 DISTILLATION (FR) MID
DRAW 5 · OR 50 · Robert Havlin / Mark Usher
MARKET 7.6 · the market rates it a 13% chance
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
51.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 16pts off the top, prominent in the betting; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
51.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 51
Official mark (OR)
50 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.81% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 7.4f · rated 512ndClass 6 · 7.2f · rated 479thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 5010thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 516thClass 4 · 6.5f · rated 44
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DISTILLATION (FR)needs 66–67best 512025-10-24 · TFR 44 · 6.5f · Heavy · C42025-11-24 · TFR 51 · 6.09f · Std/Slow · C52026-05-04 · TFR 50 · 6f · Slow · C42026-06-02 · TFR 47 · 7.16f · Std · C62026-06-17 · TFR 51 · 7.36f · Soft · C624 Oct 2517 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mark Usher · 635 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days17/2317.4%0.836/619.8%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton11/1179.4%1.01/303.3%0.39
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)17/15411.0%1.490/100.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 51 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
Robert Havlin · last 14 days: 4/19 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 1.1 (n172) · with this yard: A/E 1.08 (n23)
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 11
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 11
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 11
100.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 11
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
17 Jun 26Ffos Las7fSoft4thTrue38.6 +0.23105.2+0.00
2 Jun 26Wolverhampton7fStd2ndTrue39.6 -0.25100.3+0.03
4 May 26Kempton Park6fSlow9thTrue39.4 -0.05102.1+0.26
24 Nov 25Wolverhampton6fStd/Slow10thTrue40.9 +0.0099.6+0.00
24 Oct 25Newbury6fHeavy6thSlow early36.6 +0.0396.9+0.36
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.68par2f+0.57par3f+0.42par4f+0.22slow5f+0.04fast6f+0.43slow7f+0.87slow
Timed runs 2025-10-24 to 2026-06-17. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
GRAND VISTA (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 6.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
24 Oct 25 · 6.5f · Heavy — finished 6th vs 4th, 6.25L behind
ZOULETTE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 9.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
2 Jun 26 · 7.2f · Std — finished 2nd vs 6th, 6.55L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+5.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs HAKIN ADRAAR (read through KINGOFTHECARNIVAL, SENOR CAMPANARO) ≈ +3.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 5 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, chased leader briefly 2f out, kept on until final 1f”
#7 PENNINE WAY PROMINENT
DRAW 9 · OR 56 · George Bass / Jack Channon
MARKET 11.5 · the market rates it a 9% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
50.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 16.7pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
50.3 · ranked #7 here · career best 59
Official mark (OR)
56 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s)
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 100.1% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 467thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 466thClass 5 · 7.0f · rated 594thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 505thClass 5 · 6.1f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for PENNINE WAYneeds 66–67best 592025-10-23 · TFR 56 · 6.07f · Std · C52025-11-03 · TFR 50 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-05-11 · TFR 59 · 7.03f · Good · C52026-06-10 · TFR 46 · 7.01f · Soft · C62026-06-26 · TFR 46 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C623 Oct 2526 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jack Channon · 751 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over 7-8f trips, when the yard has won in the last 3 days
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦45/24118.7%1.3612/7715.6%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)31/23413.2%0.971/224.5%0.4
In Class 6-7 company13/8315.7%1.022/1910.5%0.52
On the all-weather32/15920.1%1.225/4910.2%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Wolverhampton (small sample)9/4122.0%1.21/147.1%0.73
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 59 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
George Bass · last 14 days: 0/6 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.77 (n57) · with this yard: A/E 1.02 (n225)
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 11
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 11
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 11
100.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length11th of 11
6.99 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm7thTrue41.5 +0.1098.2+0.03
10 Jun 26Yarmouth7fSoft7thTrue38.9 +0.0595.4+0.00
11 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood6thTrue41.0 +0.0096.3+0.00
3 Nov 25Southwell6fStd4thSlow early38.8 -0.48103.9+0.10
23 Oct 25Southwell6fStd5thTrue40.1 -0.20106.7+0.05
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.29par2f+0.31slow3f+0.27par4f+0.23par5f+0.39slow6f+1.07very slow
Timed runs 2025-10-23 to 2026-06-26. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs PERSONAL PRIDE (read through SUPERSTORM, BEAR STEPS) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through WILD ROSIE, MOLLY MAC, COME ON OVER) ≈ -5.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs TORBADOS (read through SUPERSTORM, TWILIGHT SERENADE, MAXIMUM VELOCITY) ≈ +2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs MISTER MOET (IRE) (read through INCLUSIVE, JUNGLE KNIGHT, BEACH PARTEE) ≈ -1.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 5 runs at this distanceHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“off pace, brief effort under 2f out, not sustain effort”
#8 CAPTIVE BEAUTY (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 2 · OR 56 · David Probert / Ross Burdon
MARKET 22 · the market rates it a 5% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
46 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
8th on the figures, 21pts off the top, dropping in class; the clock has it fading late.
FormLab Figure
46 · ranked #8 here · career best 56
Official mark (OR)
56 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 104.0% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
10thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 366thClass · 7.8f · rated 468thClass · 6.0f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CAPTIVE BEAUTY (IRE)needs 66–67best 562025-09-10 · TFR 56 · 6f · Soft2026-04-08 · TFR 46 · 7.82f · Soft2026-06-28 · TFR 36 · 7.16f · Std · C510 Sep 2528 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ross Burdon · 127 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)3/2711.1%1.141/616.7%2.1
Coming back after 15 to 45 days5/3813.2%0.998/3721.6%1.56
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Wolverhampton2/540.0%2.240/90.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips3/2810.7%1.060/190.0%0.0
In fields of 8-114/3710.8%0.794/3810.5%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 56 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
David Probert · last 14 days: 8/43 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.96 (n287)
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 11
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.2 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph11th of 11
+0.77s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 11
104.0%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 11
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton7fStd10thTrue38.2 -0.01104.0+0.77
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+1.62very slow2f+1.37slow3f+1.65very slow4f+1.68par5f+1.83slow6f+2.31slow7f+2.45par
Timed runs 2026-06-28 to 2026-06-28. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceLost roughly 3.5 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
LTO comment
“dwelt, bumped early, always behind”
#9 THE FLOORS MUNKY MID
DRAW 6 · OR 46 · Rhys Elliott / Gary Rutherford
MARKET 150 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
44.5 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
9th on the figures, 22.5pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
44.5 · ranked #9 here · career best 57
Official mark (OR)
46 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 6 tries
Days since last run
20
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 94.69% (one-paced late)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces and tongue strap
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
18thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated —9thClass 6 · 7.8f · rated 611thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 3210thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated —7thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated —
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for THE FLOORS MUNKYneeds 66–67best 572025-08-22 · TFR 57 · 8.31f · Gd/Frm · C42026-05-07 · TFR 32 · 5.99f · Good · C62026-05-18 · TFR 6 · 7.79f · Soft · C622 Aug 2518 May 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary Rutherford · 96 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On the all-weather2/229.1%0.741/1010.0%1.27
In fields of 8-113/378.1%0.891/166.2%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips3/3010.0%0.790/160.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)2/277.4%0.80/60.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company4/517.8%0.81/263.8%0.55
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 57 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
Rhys Elliott · last 14 days: 2/26 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0 (n21) · with this yard: A/E 0.92 (n34)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields11th of 11
-0.32 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 37.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 11
+0.09s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed11th of 11
94.7%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 11
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jul 26Thirsk6fGd/Frm18thTrue41.6 -0.3691.5+0.33
18 May 26Carlisle7fSoft9thTrue35.2 +0.1690.0+0.19
7 May 26Redcar5fGood11thTrue41.7 -0.4996.1+0.06
8 Apr 26Catterick Bridge7fGood10thTrue39.4 -0.3396.7+0.07
21 Mar 26Newcastle8fStd7thTrue37.8 -0.4891.7-0.06
22 Aug 25Hamilton Park8fGd/Frm5thSlow early38.4 -0.41102.2-0.07
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.39par2f+0.48par3f+0.77par4f+1.32very slow5f+2.42very slow6f+4.00very slow
Timed runs 2025-08-22 to 2026-07-01. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through MERESIDE PRINCESS, WOODY Y FERNANDEZ) ≈ -5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ZOULETTE (IRE) (read through HATAMOTO, WOODY Y FERNANDEZ) ≈ -5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs MISTER MOET (IRE) (read through THANKFULLY SIMMY, MERESIDE PRINCESS, POWERNAP, HARES BREDTH) ≈ -2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, dropped away from 3f out”
#10 PERSONAL PRIDE MID
DRAW 8 · OR 57 · Harry Vigors / David Simcock
MARKET 23 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 5+ / 0−
38 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
10th on the figures, 29pts off the top, a double-figure price; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
38 · ranked #10 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
57 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
63
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.0s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.11% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 2412thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 283rdClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 626thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 505thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 58
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for PERSONAL PRIDEneeds 66–67best 622025-09-20 · TFR 58 · 7.16f · Slow · C52025-10-30 · TFR 50 · 6f · Std · C52025-12-15 · TFR 62 · 7.16f · Std · C52026-04-30 · TFR 28 · 7f · Slow · C62026-05-19 · TFR 24 · 7f · Good · C620 Sep 2519 May 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David Simcock · 747 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton12/9612.5%0.915/2025.0%1.73
In fields of 8-1133/30710.7%0.9112/7017.1%1.54
In Class 6-7 company29/15219.1%1.256/3616.7%1.32
Over 7-8f trips ✦28/22312.6%1.047/5812.1%1.28
On the all-weather ✦48/36713.1%1.0313/8116.0%1.28
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)4/468.7%0.743/1421.4%2.1
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~66.0 demand
The rider
Harry Vigors · last 14 days: 0/13 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.33 (n29) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 11
-0.06 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 11
+0.25s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 11
100.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 11
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 May 26Lingfield7fGood8thTrue39.5 -0.6091.5+0.21
30 Apr 26Kempton Park7fSlow12thFast early37.5 -0.01101.1+0.22
15 Dec 25Wolverhampton7fStd3rdSlow early38.4 -0.04104.6+0.10
30 Oct 25Chelmsford City6fStd6thTrue40.0 +0.64100.2+0.21
20 Sep 25Wolverhampton7fSlow5thTrue38.0 -0.31103.2+0.49
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.09very fast2f+0.40slow3f+0.65par4f+0.78par5f+0.96very slow6f+1.96very slow7f+3.35very slow
Timed runs 2025-09-20 to 2026-05-19. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs HAKIN ADRAAR (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, KINGOFTHECARNIVAL) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs PENNINE WAY (read through SUPERSTORM, BEAR STEPS) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs TORBADOS (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, ROCCOBEAR, SUPERSTORM, THANOS) ≈ -5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“waited with, ridden when hung left 4f out, weakened from 2f out”
#11 HAKIN ADRAAR MID
DRAW 4 · OR 60 · Silvestre De Sousa / Martin Dunne
MARKET 11 · the market rates it a 9% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
34.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
11th on the figures, 32.3pts off the top, a yard that scores in today’s conditions; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
34.7 · ranked #11 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
60 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 7 tries
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.9s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield and fades
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.03% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated 1915thClass 6 · 7.0f · rated —4thClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 647thClass 6 · 8.6f · rated 2110thClass 4 · 7.1f · rated —
Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for HAKIN ADRAARneeds 66–67best 642025-06-26 · TFR 63 · 7.06f · Slow · C52025-08-21 · TFR 63 · 7f · Slow · C52025-10-04 · TFR 21 · 8.65f · Slow · C62026-05-20 · TFR 64 · 8f · Slow · C62026-07-02 · TFR 19 · 7.01f · Gd/Frm · C626 Jun 252 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Martin Dunne · 276 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Wolverhampton6/3517.1%1.421/714.3%2.14
Coming back after 15 to 45 days10/10010.0%1.034/3013.3%1.63
In fields of 8-1110/1427.0%0.724/3312.1%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips6/787.7%0.951/119.1%0.68
In Class 6-7 company18/12214.8%1.272/229.1%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)9/6414.1%1.011/520.0%2.71
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 63 is below the ~66.0 the race demands
The rider
Silvestre De Sousa · last 14 days: 2/13 · at Wolverhampton: A/E 0.86 (n74) · with this yard: A/E 1.98 (n4)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 11
-0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 11
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 11
97.0%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 11
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jul 26Yarmouth7fGd/Frm8thTrue40.8 -0.5794.7+0.40
14 Jun 26Doncaster7fGood15thTrue40.3 +0.00101.2+0.20
20 May 26Kempton Park8fSlow4thTrue39.1 +0.42102.3+0.08
4 Oct 25Wolverhampton8fSlow7thSlow early40.0 +0.1095.8-0.01
13 Sep 25Musselburgh7fGd/Sft10thFast early37.9 -0.4489.0-0.07
21 Aug 25Chelmsford City7fSlow4thTrue40.6 -0.1099.2+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.39par2f+0.32par3f+0.26par4f+0.33par5f+0.43slow6f+1.04very slow7f+2.57very slow
Timed runs 2025-08-21 to 2026-07-02. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs PERSONAL PRIDE (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, KINGOFTHECARNIVAL) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DISTILLATION (FR) (read through KINGOFTHECARNIVAL, SENOR CAMPANARO) ≈ -3.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ATHENIAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through VINTAGE HEAT, FORCEFUL LADY) ≈ -3.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs TORBADOS (read through BLUE CELESTIAL, UNCERTAINTY, POPTY PING) ≈ -3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Lost roughly 1.8 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, under pressure under 3f out, weakened”